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Of Slight Increases and Solar Eclipses
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Assume
nine months of data have been collected, instead of only three. Schank writes: “Arden and Dye (1998) noticed this pattern [of increasing
asynchrony] in the Bedouin family study and argued that it may be due to cycle
variability.”
If the pattern of slight, but increasing
asynchrony continued for the entire nine months of a study, would this warrant
further investigation? How would you
determine whether cycle variability was the cause of the asynchronous trend,
and/or other factors?
Consider the following description of
how general relativity theory received confirmation (from www.levity.com/mavericks/general.htm):
“General relativity theory…predicts that
the world line of a ray of light will be curved in the immediate vicinity of a
massive object such as the sun. To
verify this prediction, scientists first chose to observe a star appearing very
close to the edge of the sun. Such
observations cannot normally be made, because the brightness of the sun
obscures a nearby star. During a total
eclipse, however, stars can be observed and their positions accurately measured
even when they appear quite close to the edge of the sun. Expeditions were sent out to observe the
eclipses of 1919 and 1922 and made such observations. The apparent positions of the stars were then compared with their
apparent positions some months later, when they appeared at night far from the
sun. Einstein predicted an apparent
shift in position of 1.745 seconds of arc for a star at the very edge of the
sun, with progressively smaller shifts for more distant stars. The expeditions that were sent to study the
eclipses verified these predictions. In
recent years, comparable tests were made of radio-wave deflections from distant
quasars, using radio-telescope inteferometers.
The tests yielded results that agreed, to within 1 percent, with the
values predicted by general relativity.”
“1.745 seconds
of arc for a star at the very edge of the sun” – doesn’t sound like it’s that
big of a deal – yet this value confirmed the general theory of relativity. Question:
In the context of the two theories (relativity and synchrony), which is
proportionately larger: “1.745 seconds
of arc” or “1.16 days” (this being the total increase in asynchrony for
“roommate-sisters” over the three months of the Bedouin families study).
Click here to go the final point of contention
addressed in this MOLTXIBIT (but not the final point of contention between
menstrual synchrony experts, by any means!)
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